月平均大气环流与短期气候预测

Monthly-Mean Atmospheric Circulation and Climate Prediction

  • 摘要: 回顾了长期天气预报发展的历史,指出对月、季尺度而言,长期“天气”预报是不可能的,其预测的目标只能是“气候”。月平均大气环流是气候预测的主要工具,应用月平均环流给气候预测打开了一扇大门。

     

    Abstract: History of studies on long-range weather forecasting is reviewed, indicating that long-range “weather” forecasting is impossible. “Climate” is the unique target in monthly to seasonal predictions. Constructions of monthly-mean atmospheric circulation open a door on climatic prediction, and provide an important means in practice of prediction.

     

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