南京机场20130625低空风切变天气过程分析

Research of the Low-Level Wind Shear Process in 20130625 in Nanjing Airport

  • 摘要: 2013年6月在南京机场发生了一起多机组报告遭遇风切变并采取中断起飞或进近操作的天气过程。此次过程使得多架次飞机采取中止进近或紧急避让,对飞行安全造成较严重影响;而因为风切变的隐蔽性和突发性,气象服务在当天未能提前做出预报。本文通过对过程中观测资料、机场当地的雷达及其反演产品以及物理量场的资料总结,从低层理查森数计算结果发现本次过程中低空的风切变情况与地面观测上一次简单的风向切变不同,中低空切变线过境的低层切变线辐合引发的机场进近区域低空强烈湍流,使低空飞行即将降落的航空器产生强烈颠簸,从而操作困难。中低层的切变线过境时可以激发持续较长时间近地面低空风切变,此种类型的低空风切变的开始和结束时间与中低空切变线的移动情况相关。在探讨此次风切变机制时,发现地面观测资料多要素的转折性变化、多普勒雷达产品和WAFS(Weather Areo Forecast System)数值预报产品的再分析资料对风切变预报有一定的参考作用,可以帮助预报员做出判断,从而保障飞行安全。

     

    Abstract: In June 2013, there was a report that many flight units encountered wind shear and their take-off was interrupted due to the weather process in operation at Nanjing airport. This process urged several planes to take emergency avoidance, and caused a serious effect on the safety of flight. Besides, because of the hidden and sudden wind shear, meteorological service agencies failed to make an advance prediction that day. This paper summarizes the data of the process of observation, products of local radar in the airport and data of the physical quantity field. From the low-level Richardson number of wind shear, we find that its direction was different from the last simple process of low altitude in surface observation and that the convergence of the shear line caused a strong turbulence near the airport, shaking low flying airplanes strongly, thus making them difficult to operate. From the analysis of the long-time wind shear weather process, we think that low layer shear line transit can cause a long-time low-level wind shear, and when it occurs in the approaching area, the wind shear will be very dangerous for flights. In the discussion of the wind shear mechanism, we find that slight changes of ground observation data, Doppler radar products and the Weather Areo Forecast System (WAFS) numerical forecast products have some reference function to the prediction of wind shear, and it can help forecasters use their judgment, so as to ensure flight safety.

     

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