Abstract:
Hainan Island is the largest and most productive base of natural rubber production in China, but it is also the region where typhoon occurred frequently. Strong winds directly cause mechanical damage to rubber tree such as fallen leaves, folding tips, folding branches and even tilt, snapping and falling. Typhoon disaster is the greatest natural disaster for the natural rubber industry in Hainan Island. A typhoon disaster assessment model for Hainan rubber plantation was built based on extension theory and historical data of typhoon disaster by the selection of static and dynamic factors for typhoon disaster assessment in rubber plantation. The disaster evaluation of 1409 super typhoon “Rammasun” was calculated using the proposed evaluation model, and the assessment result was more consistent with the actual disaster situation which indicated that the model was feasible and practical. The result could provide scientific basis for rational planning of planting in Hainan rubber plantation and increase the timeliness of disaster prevention and mitigation.