南京市气温的空间变异及对量化冠层城市热岛强度的影响研究

The Spatial Variability of Air Temperature in Nanjing and Its Impact on Quantifying Canopy Urban Heat Island Intensity

  • 摘要: 城市复杂的下垫面导致气温空间分布呈现高度的变异,影响冠层城市热岛(CUHI)强度的准确量化和热胁迫减缓策略的制定。利用2019年夏季南京市153个自动气象站的逐时气温观测数据,分析了南京市气温的空间变异及其影响因素,并量化了气温空间变异对计算CUHI强度的影响。结果表明:1)南京市气温在夏季具有明显的空间变异,夜间尤其显著,夜间气温的空间变异系数是白天的2.2倍。2)建筑物面积占比(R= 0.44,p<0.001)和植被覆盖率(R=-0.74,p<0.001)分别是影响白天和夜间气温空间格局最关键的地表覆盖因素。建筑形态因素中,白天气温空间分布与建筑物投影面积占比极显著相关(R= 0.35,p<0.001),夜间气温空间分布则与建筑物高度的相关关系更强(R= 0.69,p<0.001)。气温空间分布与人口密度呈非线性关系,人口密度<150人/km2时,气温对人类活动更敏感。3)城郊站点的选择引起的量化CUHI强度的不确定性在白天和夜间分别为0.15和0.28 ℃,分别占对应时段CUHI强度(白天为0.34 ℃,夜间为0.76 ℃)的44%和37%。4)基于局地气候区(LCZ)数据计算的白天和夜间最强CUHI强度分别出现在LCZ 10(工业厂房,1.85 ℃)和LCZ 1(密集高层建筑,0.61 ℃)。建筑物密度相同时,高层建筑区的CUHI强度比低层建筑区高0.55~1.15 ℃;同为高层建筑时,密集建筑区的CUHI强度比开阔区高0.43 ℃。

     

    Abstract: The heterogeneity of urban surface leads to high intra-city spatial variability of air temperature (Ta), impacting the accurate estimation of canopy urban heat island (CUHI) intensity and heat mitigation strategies. Using the hourly air temperature observation data from 153 automatic weather stations in Nanjing during the summer of 2019, the spatial variability of Ta and its influencing factors are analyzed, and the impact of Ta spatial variability on the calculation of the CUHI intensity is quantified. The results show significant summertime intra-city spatial variability of Ta in Nanjing, especially at nighttime, with the coefficient of spatial variation being 2.2 times that of daytime. Area fraction of buildings (R= 0.44, p < 0.001) and vegetation coverage (R=- 0.74, p < 0.001) are the most critical factors influencing the spatial patterns of daytime and nighttime Ta, respectively. In terms of building form factors, daytime Ta correlates significantly with the fraction of building roof projection area (R= 0.35, p < 0.001), while nighttime Ta is more correlated with building height (R= 0.69, p < 0.001). Population density effects on the spatial distribution of Ta are nonlinear. Ta is more sensitive to anthropogenic activities when population density is less than 150 people/km2. Uncertainty of CUHI intensity caused by the selection of urban and suburban stations is 0.15 ℃ during the daytime and 0.28 ℃ at nighttime, accounting for 44% and 37% of CUHI intensity (daytime: 0.34 ℃, nighttime: 0.76 ℃), respectively. When using the local climate zone (LCZ) method, the strongest CUHI intensity occurs in LCZ 10 (industry, 1.85 ℃) during the daytime and LCZ 1 (dense high-rise building, 0.61 ℃) at nighttime. When the building density is the same, the CUHI intensity in the high-rise building area is 0.55- 1.15 ℃ stronger than that in low-rise building area. For high-rise building, the CUHI intensity in the dense building area is 0.43 ℃ stronger than that in the open areas.

     

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