2022年夏季合肥市持续高温过程特征与成因分析

Characteristics and Mechanisms of Persistent High Temperature in Hefei during the Summer of 2022

  • 摘要: 2022年夏季合肥市发生了历史罕见的持续高温天气,给社会各界造成严重影响,剖析此次异常高温过程的成因对改进汛期气候预测具有重要意义。基于1961—2022年地面观测数据和NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,回顾此次高温干旱过程的时空演变特征,对比历史强高温过程典型环流场,从环流异常和海温外强迫角度初步探讨此次异常高温过程的成因。结果表明:1)合肥市2022年夏季具有持续时间长、平均气温历史最高、高温日数历史最多、降水异常偏少等极端特征。显著高温少雨阶段为8月1—22日。2)合肥市气温自20世纪90年代以来进入偏暖期,并于2008年夏季发生突变。3)乌拉尔山以西存在阻塞形势,西西伯利亚为低压槽,东亚地区包括合肥市在内的对流层均受异常反气旋控制,北半球中高纬度这种“正负正”经向波列结构是合肥市强高温天气过程出现的典型环流配置。4)西太平洋副热带高压(简称西太副高)异常偏强、偏大、偏西,南亚高压异常东伸,是此次极端高温天气过程的直接原因。环流形势稳定、冷空气偏弱、水汽输送偏北、垂直下沉运动异常偏强等均是高温过程发展增强的重要原因。5)持续发展的La Ni?a事件导致热带海温异常,引起Walker环流和Hadley环流增强,在25°—35°N附近下沉气流异常偏强,引起西太副高稳定西伸,导致极端高温天气出现。

     

    Abstract: A rare persistent high temperature event occurred in Hefei in summer 2022, which caused serious impacts on many sectors. Therefore, analyzing the causes of the abnormal high temperature event is of great significance for improving the climate projection in the flood season. Based on the ground observation data of 1961-2022 and reanalysis data from NCEP/NCAR, the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of the high temperature and drought event in Hefei are analyzed. Meanwhile, by comparing the typical circulation fields of historical high temperature processes with that of the extreme high temperature process in 2022, we discuss the possible causes of the persistent high temperature event in 2022 from the perspective of atmospheric circulation anomaly and SST forcing. The results show that: (1) The summer of 2022 in Hefei has experienced an extreme high temperature process that was of long duration, the highest average temperature in history, the highest number of high temperature days in history, and unusually less precipitation. The period from 1 to 22 August was the most prominent period of high temperature and low precipitation. (2) The temperature in Hefei has entered a warmer period since the 1990s and changed abruptly in the summer of 2008. (3) A blocking situation was identified to the west of the Ural mountains, with a trough of low pressure over the West Siberia. The troposphere in East Asia, including Hefei, was controlled by an anomalous anticyclone. This 'negative-positive-negative' pattern of meridional wave trains structure in the middle and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere is a typical circulation configuration for the historical high temperature process in Hefei. (4) The direct causes of the extreme high temperature process were the anomalous West Pacific subtropical high, which was found to be with enhanced intensity, larger coverage and westward movement, and the South Asia high, which extended abnormally eastward. The stable circulation situation, the weak cold air force, the northward water vapor transport, and the abnormally strong vertical sinking movement all contributed to the development and enhancement of this high temperature process. (5) The persistent La Ni?a event caused tropical sea temperature anomalies, which in turn led to the significant enhancement of the Walker and Hadley circulations. There was a significant abnormal sinking movement near 25°-35°N, which caused a stable westward extension of the West Pacific subtropical high, resulting in the occurrence of the extreme high temperature event.

     

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