复杂地形下“23·7”极端强降雨递进式预报预警服务

Progressive Meteorological Services of "23·7" Extreme Heavy Rainfall under Complex Terrain

  • 摘要: 暴雨洪涝灾害气象服务的复盘总结分析在应急减灾过程中发挥着重要作用。以2023年7月29日—8月2日北京地区极端强降雨过程为例,北京市气象台围绕重大灾害天气防御“灾前、临灾、灾中、灾后”关键时间点开展“31631”递进式气象服务,建立灾害天气递进式预报预警工作机制。面对此次罕见的极端强降雨过程,北京市气象局充分发挥了在全市防汛应急体系中“发令枪”和“消息树”的作用,准确预测,及时预警,为应对大暴雨赢得了宝贵的时间窗口期。提前高效的预报预警递进式气象服务的开展,大幅度提高了气象部门与其他部门的应对效率,让防灾减灾第一道防线更加牢固。

     

    Abstract: The review, summary, and analysis of meteorological services for heavy rainfall and flood disaster play an important role in emergency disaster mitigation. Taking the extreme heavy rainfall event in Beijing from July 29 to August 2, 2023 as an example, Beijing Meteorological Observatory carried out progressive meteorological services known as "31631" in accordance with the key time nodes of major disastrous weather prevention, namely "before the disaster, on the brink of the disaster, during the disaster, and after the disaster", and established a progressive forecasting and warning mechanism for disastrous weather. Facing this rare extreme heavy rainfall event, Beijing Meteorological Service fully exerted its role as the "starting pistol" and "message tree" in the municipal flood control and emergency response system. It made accurate predictions and timely warnings, thus gaining a precious time window for coping with the heavy rainfall. The advance and efficient progressive forecasting and warning services have greatly improved the response efficiency between meteorological services and other departments, and have made the first line of defense for disaster prevention and mitigation more solid.

     

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